Your estimate is bottom-up. What does the outside view say?
In 200 words, contrast the inside view (this team, this scope) with the outside view (similar projects elsewhere) for a current estimate. Show the discount you'd apply if the outside view says you're optimistic.
Writing prompt · 200 words · Graded across structure, depth, clarity, judgment
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principle
Reference-class forecasting beats inside-view estimation when there's history.